August Review
Research Content Slides covering recent topics, including: - Bank of England: a lookback at history to understand today’s institution -...
Research Content Slides covering recent topics, including: - Bank of England: a lookback at history to understand today’s institution -...
RESEARCH CONTENT This report highlights some interesting data and financial market moves, including: Recent US Household debt data Price...
RESEARCH CONTENT Much has been discussed about the BoJ tightening MonPol and tapering their QE program. This note delves into the data...
RESEARCH CONTENT Post the significant market turmoil, this note highlights thoughts regarding Fixed Income: Valuation and trends for...
RESEARCH CONTENT Follow up to November’s macro research on Canadian debt and inflation dynamics and financial markets: Whilst there...
RESEARCH CONTENT Charts across asset classes to highlight the following : Equity: Some trend reversal signals and slowdown in bullish...
This note discusses why curve trades have been avoided until now, and how market momentum and economic data have recently changed opening...
Following last week’s piece showing how global macro trends are leading to big political changes (Boiling Frog), this note looks at the...
Report updating exisiting macro investment themes, including: Global bank equity indices and bank senior and sub credit indices, and how...
An update to the 12Dec23 research on France which concluded that French OATs were at risk of a revaluation: https://www.thegreyfirehorse....
This research analyses the ability of the yield curve to forewarn a recession. In conclusion, this time IS and IS NOT different: It’s not...
RESEARCH CONTENT This research breaks down the historical post 2014 changes in "Simple Real Yields" of 6 countries into 4 stages,...
RESEARCH CONTENT Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) makes up approximately 68-70% of the US’s GDP. Probably in large part due to...
RESEARCH CONTENT A comprehensive research report on the macroeconomic situation in Sweden, which has one of the most indebted private...
RESEARCH CONTENT Updated in-depth analysis on macroeconomic trends in Australia, together with a summary of interesting investment themes...
REPORT CONTENT AND CONCLUSION: Japan is in a debt trap and the BoJ’s choice has been to part finance the large deficits, at the expense...
RESEARCH CONTENT In the US, headline and core inflation has been sticky for the last 4 months. The data has been disinflationary in the...
RESEARCH CONTENT Update to the recent notes that highlighted the increased risk of trend breakouts following widening interest rate...
RESEARCH CONTENT This report discusses the expectations for Central Bank policy rates in Canada and USA, and contrasts them to their...