About The Grey Fire Horse
Edward Ballsdon (London, England)
Experienced Investment Strategist with a strong track record in financial markets. Skilled in Global Macro, Debt Cycles, Inflation, Interest Rates, Foreign Exchange and Derivatives. Strong finance professional with a Business Studies BSc Degree.
Developed a macro framework based on private and public sector debt trends to determine credit and inflation cycles for different economies. Overlaid existing and likely future monetary and fiscal policy onto the cycles to successfully forecast future paths of interest rates, credit and equity performance.
Identified recent key market trends, including the 2018 increase in US Real Yields and their subsequent decline in 2019, the Emerging Market FX sell off in Q2/Q3 2018, the rise in equity and credit volatility in 4Q18, the decline in oil prices in 2018 (and corresponding decline in Inflation Breakevens), and the decline in G10 forward interest rates in 2019.
First-hand experience of the 1991/92 UK Construction sector collapse proved invaluable in anticipating the US and European Real Estate difficulties in the 2000s.
Foresaw the recent US, Irish, Italian and Spanish banking crises through close involvement in the 1990s Japanese and Scandinavian banking crises.
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